Jin Wu, Weiyi Cai, Derek Watkins and James Glanz have analyzed the spread of the Coronavirus #COVID19
The result is an interactive article published in the New York Times.
Surely something not to be missed.
The story so far…
Many of the first known cases clustered around a seafood market in Wuhan, China, a city of 11 million and a transportation hub.
Four cases grew to dozens by the end of December. Doctors knew only that the sick people had viral pneumonia that did not respond to the usual treatments.
The true size of the outbreak was much larger even then — an invisible network of nearly 1,000 cases, or perhaps several times more. Estimates from Trevor Bedford, University of Washington, and Lauren Gardner, Johns Hopkins University
With each patient infecting two or three others on average, even a perfect response may not have contained the spread.
But Chinese officials did not alert the public to the risks in December. It wasn’t until Dec. 31 that they alerted the World Health Organization and released a statement — and a reassurance.“The disease is preventable and controllable,” the government said.